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• Best European Roulette Strategy Games
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• Best European Roulette Strategy For Beginners
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The goal of this post is to offer you the best roulette strategy ever.

I read somewhere that roulette is the 3rd most popular table game in the USA. In Europe, roulette is THE most popular table game. I recently took a look at the roulette survey at Wizard of Vegas, and as near as I can tell from the table, there are about 300 roulette tables in Las Vegas. That’s a lot.

The most popular posts on this site so far have all been about the game. My post about the Hollandish system for roulette is the most-viewed post on the site, followed closely by my post about the best roulette systems. And while I’m proud of those posts, they don’t quite cover the subject I’m going to write about here today–the best roulette strategy ever.

It’s true that this is a game of pure luck.

But you can be a successful roulette player.

All you need to do is find other roulette players who’ve succeed and implement the same strategy.

This post explains how to do that.

The Best Roulette Strategy Is a Biased Wheel System

I’ve read multiple accounts of players who have won 6 figures or more using a biased wheel strategy. They’ve won this money in Atlantic City, Las Vegas, and Monte Carlo.

Here’s the thing about this game:

There’s no such thing as a flawless roulette wheel. All mechanical devices are slightly imperfect. If you can find a wheel that’s imperfect enough, you can get an edge over the casino.

The best roulette strategy involves writing down numbers as they come up during play. Eventually, you’ll find a wheel where some numbers come up more often than they should statistically.

When that happens, you’ve got ’em!

Think about this, too:

Casinos discard decks of cards and dice multiple times each day.

Why?

Because of their physical imperfections.

Roulette wheels have physical imperfections, too, but they’re too expensive to replace that regularly.

And even a wheel that’s close to perfect when it’s first bought and installed develops a bias after the wear and tear of regular use.

My plan for the rest of this post is to look at a few examples of players who’ve used this “best roulette strategy” to see how they did it:

• How much time did they spend “clocking” these wheels?
• How did they bet once they detected a bias?
• What kind of bankroll did they have to begin with?
• How much money did they bet?
• And how much money did they win?

How Much Money Did Vladimir Granec Win Playing Roulette?

Vladimir Granec Won money playing roulette at international casinos during the 1970s. Many huge, almost un-explainable casino losses were reported to Interpol and European police departments in France in 1975. Those complaints also started coming in from other countries, too, like Africa and Yugoslavia.

And it took these police years to catch up with Granec and his confederates.

In France in 1978, The Municipal Caisno in Canne and La Siesta in Antibes lost $3.2 million on their roulette tables. When you added in the losses on roulette from other French casinos, the total came to $6 million.

Of course, it’s not illegal to exploit a bias in a roulette wheel. It’s the casino’s responsibility to ensure their equipment works properly, and if they don’t, it’s on them.

But it IS illegal to create a bias in a roulette wheel, and that was apparently Granec’s big game. He had several confederates, at least one of whom was an expert mechanic. This mechanic was able to not only fix the wheel, but he was also able to “unfix” it after they’d won their money–leaving the casinos confused about what had happened.

To this day, no one knows how this crew got access to the roulette wheels to fix them. We do know what they did to fix them–they loosened the slots on the wheel to either side of the 20. (The 7 neighboring numbers were 9, 31, 14, 20, 1, 33, and 16.) To the croupiers, the player just seemed really lucky.

To try to thwart his luck, the croupier spun the roulette wheel faster, which had the effect of causing it to land in the desired series of numbers even more often than it should have.

Finally, in 1981, the police caught up with the ringleader of this scheme–Vladimir Granec–the so-called “King of Roulette.” He was a Czechoslovakian living in Munich. Granec had a storied career prior to his life as a roulette cheat–he’d been 2nd in command of the Czechoslovak Department of Radio Free Europe, owned casinos in both England and in Yugoslavia, and he ran a real estate business.

Vladimir Granec’s “Guidance” on What to Look for in a Roulette Number

They were finally able to arrest Granec in 1984. They took him to trial again in 1986 after failing to convict him in 1984. During his trial this time, he explained that he’d merely tracked where the ball landed. When he found a number that came up 10% more often than it was statistically supposed to, he started betting on it.

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He was again acquitted.

The French courts were finally able to convict him when they found 3 of his confederates who were willing to testify against him. Each of them admitted that they’d worked for Granec in exchange for 2% to 20% of the winnings.

He was sentenced to 5 years in prison and charged a fine of $500,000.

But since he’d won over$10 million or more at the roulette tables, he’d come out way ahead. In fact, Vladimir Granec is the largest roulette winner in the history of the game.

This does not mean that I think the best roulette strategy is to cheat. But it’s hard to talk about biased wheels without telling the story of Vladimir Granec.

Watching the Wheels Go Round and Round

William Nelson Darnborough

Several winners demonstrated their best roulette strategies by just watching the wheel. One of them was William Nelson Darnborough. From 1904 to 1911 he beat roulette consistently. He won $415,000 from the Monte Carlo Casino alone. He was famous for how fast he placed his bets when the croupier started spinning the wheel.

Darnborough was a user of the “wheel-watcher system.”

Here’s how the wheel-watcher system works:

The bettor estimates the speed of the ball and the wheel relative to each other. Then he looks at the relative position of the ball compared to the numbers on the wheel. He then calculates the average point of fall for the ball. Once this is done, he immediately places his bet.

Users of the wheel watcher system lose more often than they win, but when they do hit a win, the amount compensates for the losses and then some.

They’re able to make these calculations within just 1 to 3 spins of the wheel.

The big trick was having a confederate or 2 to help place the bets. Otherwise, there’s not enough time to make the necessary mental calculations and place the necessary bets.

Edward Thorp

Another player to beat roulette was Edward Thorp, who’s better known for inventing card counting in blackjack. Thorp was a professor of both physics and mathematics at MIT. He and Claude Shannon, both professors, bought a regulation wheel in Reno, Nevada and set it up in Shannon’s basement.

They wrote an academic paper where they’d determined that they could reach a +15% expectation by betting on the 5 numbers they predicted the ball would land on–again, just by eyeballing the speed of the ball compared to the speed of the wheel. They were able to increase this to +44% by using a computer. (I should note that using a computer for such a purpose would be considered cheating in a real casino and would be illegal.)

You can read about their experiments in a book called The Eudaemonic Pie by Thomas A. Bass.

It recounts how in 1962, Thorp had already been banned from some casinos because of his card counting. But he used sunglasses and a fake beard as part of a disguise to get past this. And there were still some casinos where he hadn’t been banned.

Thorp and his friends spent a week at the Riviera. They had repeated problems with the wires in the microcomputers they were using, which were the size and shape of a cigarette case. They didn’t win at roulette and eventually gave up.

A later team of roulette players used the same principles with a computer that worked, though. They won $55,000 at the Valkenburg Casino in Holland. At another casino in Germany, the casino took countermeasures and stopped allowing players to make bets after the wheel had been spun.

It’s probably hard to become a wheel-watcher, but it’s probably not impossible, either. Laurence Scott wrote a book called How to Beat Roulette which explains a one-person and 2-person wheel-watcher system.

How Can You Become the Most Successful Roulette Player of All Time?

On an American roulette wheel, the probability of the ball landing on any specific number is 1/38.

If you can find a number where the ball lands 1/35 of the time, you’d have a clear bias. If you could find a number where the ball landed 1/30 of the time, you’d have a strong enough bias that you’d be playing at a significant advantage to the casino.

Here’s how the math works on that:

If the wheel is perfect, and the number comes up once every 38 spins, the house has an edge of 5.26%. You calculate that by taking a statistically perfect set of spins and averaging the amount lost per spin.

You win 35 to 1 on a single number bet, so your winnings (if you’re betting $100 per spin) would be $3500. But you’ll lose $3700 on your losing spins, for a net loss of $200. Averaged into 38 spins, you’re looking at an average loss of $5.26 per spin, or 5.26%.

But let’s do the math behind a number that comes up 1/30 of the time.

You’d win $3500 once, but you’d lose $2900 on the other 29 spins. That’s a net win of $600, or an edge of 15.78% over the casino. That’s a huge edge, by the way–far greater than you’d see counting cards in blackjack.

How to Find a Number that Comes Up More Often than It Statistically Should

But how do you find a number that’s actually biased?

In an average 8 hour session of play, you’ll see 300 to 350 spins on a roulette wheel. That’s not enough to accurately find a bias. In any set of 325 spins, about half the numbers on the wheel will come up more often than you’d expect. And half of them will come up less often than you’d expect.

That’s just variance.

Any given number then has a 50% chance of coming up more often than statistically likely during any given 8-hour shift.

But for a number to come up more often 2 days in a row, the probability becomes 50% X 50%, or 25%. For it to come up 3 days in a row, the probability drops to 12.5%.

This is just the probability that a number is coming up more often than it “should” just because of random chance.

Creating a Roulette Betting System Based on This

The casino provides cards for tracking which numbers come up as you’re playing. You’re going to keep track of how many times a specific number has come up.

After the first spin, the ball will have landed on a number once. That number is the number you bet on the next spin, because it’s the number that has come up most often. It’s unlikely that this number has a bias, because the wheel is still random.

When another number comes up, you switch to that number.

But as soon as a number has come up twice, you start betting on that number until another number has come up twice. Then you switch again.

Once a number has come up 3 times, it becomes the theoretically most likely number, and you switch to that number.

You continue to switch to the number that has come up most often throughout your time on the wheel.

The more spins that are made, the likelier it is that you’re betting on a biased number, increasing your probability of winning.

It might take several days of play for this system to bear fruit, but when it does, you can make a lot of money. Winning 35 to 1 on a 29 to 1 event is an advantage that most gamblers dream of.

This betting system comes from the book Beating the Wheel: Winning Strategies at Roulette by Russell T. Barnhart.

Keep in mind that this isn’t a foolproof system. You might be playing on a wheel that isn’t biased. You might be playing on a wheel that is biased, but you might still be unlucky.

Roulette Bankroll Management Guidelines

Of course, to place this many roulette bets, you’d need a bankroll sufficient to cover the action. At a $5 table, if you lost every spin, you’re looking at $1500 to $1750 in losses per day. (This assumes you’re playing for 8 hours day.)

Your goal, too, is to stay in action until your long-term edge kicks in. This means you don’t want to go broke just because you were unlucky. Even if you’re betting on a number that’s statistically more likely to come up, you could go broke during a cold streak.

In blackjack, card counters use “risk of ruin” as their guideline for how big a bankroll they need. They set a goal of 80%, 90%, 95% or 99%, which is their probability of NOT going broke before they run out of money. The number of betting units needed for each level goes up as your probability of not going broke goes up.

To best avoid going broke before your edge kicks in, you should have at least 200 units to bet with, but 700 to 1000 units would be even better.

You should also avoid betting on a single number throughout your play, as it will become obvious to the casino what you’re doing.

One method of camouflaging your play is to bet on the target number, one additional random number, and make a columns bet on the column containing your target number.

This, of course, requires a larger bankroll than if you were just betting a single number every time, so if you’re a $5 bettor, try to have $3500 to $5000 in your total bankroll to play with.

Finally

I can’t guarantee that the best roulette strategy will result in you becoming the most successful roulette player of all time. Modern roulette wheels tend to be well-made, after all. If you’re searching for a biased wheel, you should go to a smaller casino that only has a single wheel. You should also keep in mind that a wheel might not be biased at all.

You can easily go broke playing roulette, and all the theory in the world isn’t enough to win if you’re consistently unlucky.

At any rate, I wish you luck on the Devil’s Wheel.

Roulette is one of the most popular table games in modern casinos. Although variations on the game have been around for several hundred years, there are now only 3 variations in American casinos.

You’re likely already familiar with American roulette and European roulette. The most recent addition to the table game inventory is Sands Roulette.

Which of these games should you play?

How should you bet on them?

What’s the smartest strategy for roulette betting?

I’ll explain all that in this post:

What Are the Differences between American, European, and Sands Roulette?

Although these games have a few other differences, the most significant distinction between the 3 versions of roulette are the number of green slots the wheels contain.

Every roulette wheel has at least 37 slots.

36 of those slots are always numbered 1 to 36, and they’re alternately colored RED or BLACK.

The additional slots are green.

In European roulette there is only one green slot, the “0”.

In American roulette there are two green slots: “0” and “00”.

In Sands roulette a third green slot, “S”, has been added to the wheel.

The green slots are there for one reason:

They make the game’s statistical probabilities uneven.

This is because of the way roulette bets are paid off. You can win anywhere from 35-to-1 (for betting on a single number) down to 1-to-1 (for betting on 18 slots at a time).

The payoffs, called “odds”, are not as fair to you as the actual estimated probabilities of the roulette ball landing on any given slot. This is how the casino makes its money.

In a game of roulette the house should keep at least 2.70% of all the bets players make over time. The casino has no need to cheat the players. In fact, the players often make really bad bets that improve the “house edge”, as that casino profit is called.

One of the other differences between European roulette and both American and Sands roulette is that the European roulette table has an additional betting area. This secondary betting area is used to place specially designed bets. They are more complicated than the normal bets made in American and Sands roulette. I’m going to ignore this section of the table, because I’m going to show you how to place bets that have the best chances of paying off.

Is There a Winning System for Roulette?

Everyone who gets into roulette sooner or later starts to think about how they can “beat the system”.

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I’m going to be honest here:

There is no way to do that.

The green slots on the wheel make it impossible for anyone, anywhere, to ever design a betting system that is guaranteed to win. If you really want to guarantee yourself a win every time, then put a chip on each of the 2-to-1 outside bets and on each of the green number bets.

That’s the only way you’ll be paid money every time the wheel spins.

You’ll also go broke.

You may have heard about a system called the Martingale System. It’s a popular betting system with new roulette players.

Experienced roulette players just turn their heads and roll their eyes when someone mentions the Martingale System. The only way you can make money with the Martingale System is to write a book about it and get people to buy your book.

Even that’s a gamble, though, because most people now know that the Martingale System promises more than it delivers.

Here’s how this system works:

You start out betting the minimum. If you lose, you double your bet. If you win on your doubled bet, you go back to betting the table minimum. If you lose again, you double the size of your bet again.

This sounds great to inexperienced bettors but the problem is that you’ll either run out of money or hit the table limit before you can recoup your losses as they add up.

The Martingale System is a sucker bet, plain and simple.

Every betting system in every form of gambling tries to leverage probability theory. The Martingale System and other roulette betting strategies also rely on probability estimates.

But there’s a flaw in the thinking behind these systems. If you account for the flaw you’ll be okay. You won’t always win but your expectations will be more reasonable.

The secret to not going broke when you gamble is to set reasonable expectations and maintain your self-discipline. You should never drink or take drugs when you gamble. They lower your inhibitions and impair your judgment.

You might as well just hand your money over to the casino at the cashier window and say “keep it” if you’re going to drink or do drugs when you gamble.

How Do Probabilities Work in Roulette?

Probability theory came out of statistics. It tries to give us rules by which to guess what happens next in any situation. The guesses are seldom accurate predictions. Sometimes the guesses work out, and sometimes they don’t. Gamblers love probability theory because they think it helps them pick the best betting strategies.

You’re actually more likely to double your money during a roulette session if you put all your money on a single bet. The more bets you place, the less likely it becomes to double your money.

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That’s because every bet brings you close to the long term expectations. The closer you are to the short term, the more likely you are to get better than expected results.

In roulette, the probabilities are simple. The dealer spins the wheel and releases a ball that whirls around the outside of the wheel and finally settles in a slot. With only 37 slots on a European roulette wheel you have a 1-in-37 probability of the ball landing on a specific slot.

This probability never changes.

This probability is calculated on the basis of all the known possibilities.

What probability theory cannot do, however, is predict where the ball will stop.

Nor can it predict whether the ball will land on red, black, or green any number of times over the next 100 spins.

Nonetheless, a lot of gambling guides tell you that you have the best chances of winning if you do this because of such-and-such probabilities. And many of these guides warn you that there is no way to predict the future, but by setting the expectation that the ball will land on red about 47% of the time, these guides are making predictions and promises they cannot keep.

They’ll even back up their claims by talking about how to run computer simulations for 1 million spins of the wheel so that you see how often the ball lands on red, black, or green.

In the real world the Probability Fairy is always on vacation. She’ll never be there to wave her magic wand to make things happen the way experts say they should. The ball could land on red over the next 20 spins. Or it could land on black or green or some random mix of color combinations.

You have no way of knowing how many of the next [X] spins will turn out a certain way. Talking about probabilities in this way is just dishonest.

What you can do is look at the wheel and ask yourself how much it costs to bet on the largest possible set of numbers. The idea here is to get as much coverage as you can without losing money too fast.

But even if you cover every number on the wheel you’ll lose money.

So the only way to win in roulette–and this is completely random, never guaranteed–is to bet on less than all the numbers on the wheel.

You also want to play bets that pay better than even money. You can place a variety of bets, but most of them aren’t worthwhile.

Betting on single numbers is a bad idea. You can place bets on the lines between the numbers (these are called “street bets”) and on lines at the corners of numbers (these are called “corner bets”).

But even though you get pretty good odds (payoff) you’re still covering too few numbers.

How Bets Work in Roulette

Divide the bets into two groups:

1. Inside bets
2. Outside bets

Inside bets are based on individual numbers or small groups of numbers. When you see players betting on the lines, corners, and individual numbers on the table they are making inside bets.

Outside bets are based on pre-selected groups of numbers on the wheel. The “2-to-1” bets cover 12 numbers each: 1 to 12, 13 to 24, and 25 to 36. The “1-to-1” or “even money” bets cover 18 numbers each:

• Odd
• Even
• Black
• Red
• 1 to 18
• 19 to 36

The bets more likely to pay are the even money bets.

But unless you can win 5 times out of 9 on even money bets you’ll lose your stake. That’s the problem with roulette. You always have to win at least 1 more time than you lose no matter how you place your bets.

The “2 to 1” bets pay better than the “1 to 1” bets because they cover fewer numbers. You have less of a chance of winning.

There are 6 types of “2 to 1” bets:

• 3 kinds of dozens bets: (1 to 12, 13 to 24, and 25 to 36)
• 3 kinds of columns bets: ([1, 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25, 28, 31, 34], [2, 5, 8, 11, 14, 17, 20, 23, 26, 29, 32, 35], [3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36]).

You can make a bet by betting on any two of the “2 to 1” groups. That means that instead of covering only 18 numbers you’ll be covering 24 numbers.

This type of bet is often called the “double dozen” bet. It’s popular among gamblers who like to hedge their bets. They have a better chance (all other things considered) of scoring a win with a “double dozen” than with one of the standard even money bets. If you’re playing it safe and going for even money odds, you should always play a double dozen bet.

If you want to bet more aggressively, then instead of betting more money on your double dozen, you can cover all 36 of the red and black numbers. Leave the green numbers alone. Yes, they’ll come in every now and then, and you’ll lose money.

But there’s a way to keep your losses low.

How to Bet on Columns or Dozens Aggressively

Take 6 chips and distribute them across EITHER the three dozen bets or the three column bets.

Place 3 chips on 1, 2 chips on the 2nd, and 1 chip on the 3rd. If the ball lands on a green number you’ll lose your entire bet, so always play the table minimum with this aggressive style.

If the ball lands on any number with your single chip bet, you’ll win 2 chips and lose 5–for a net loss of 3 chips (half your bet).

That’s the safest way to bet aggressively on the table.

If the ball lands on any number in your 2 chip bet you’ll win 4 chips and lose 4 for no loss. This keeps you in the game.

If the ball lands on any number in your 3chip bet, you’ll win 6 chips and lose 3 for a net gain of 3 chips. This will offset 1 single chip win.

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The way this betting strategy works out, your money can grow substantially and still take some big hits. Where the strategy will fail you is when the ball lands on green or if the ball lands on the single chip bet more often than it lands on the 3 chip bet.

Sorry, but there’s no way to prevent that from happening.

There Is No Guaranteed Way to Win in Roulette

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I can’t say this often enough:

You can’t win at roulette in the long run.

I think roulette is a fun game to play. It’s exciting because you don’t know where the ball will land. You take an active role in making your wagers.

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And you’ll find there are a lot of different betting systems to experiment with. The only thing that is guaranteed in roulette is that the casino will make a profit. What you hope for is that they make their profit at someone else’s expense.

Players who try to improve their luck by making big bets do sometimes win, but most often the people who come out ahead are the patient players who use conservative betting strategies and take money off the table. If you only walk away with your beginning stake you’ll be luckier than most gamblers.

And you can take that to the bank.