Is Forex Gambling Reddit
Welcome FXGears' Forex Trading Community! Here you can converse about trading ideas, strategies, trading psychology, and nearly everything in between! - We also have one of the largest forex chatrooms online! - /r/Forex is the official subreddit of FXGears.com, a trading forum run by professional traders. This is actually one of the reasons that commentators use to say that forex is a form gambling. Many of the platforms that enables trading on the markets (for the record, we recommend eToro) with leverages at levels like 500:1. The greater the leverage, the greater the risk, therefore makes forex trading no different to gambling. A very high percentage of Forex traders (about 72% of retail traders as reported by Forex brokers regulated in the European Union) end up losing more than they gain, not because they are gambling, but because they do not know enough about how to wait until the odds have moved in their favor before opening a trade. For this exact reason, it is. I think some people have extremely unreasonable expectations for their Forex earnings. If I can make 2 - 5% in a mo.
Is Forex Trading the same as Gambling?
I have been asked many times 'Is Forex trading the same as gambling?'.
My answers:
Yes, it is gambling when one treats the Forex market like a huge Jackpot machine or Roulette table where the hope of winning is dependent on nothing else but pure luck.
The problem with casino gambling is that the odds are stacked heavily against the gamblers.
In Forex trading, the trader needs only to overcome the odds of a few PIPs spreads payable to the broker before he/she can attempt to make a profit.
Trading 'blindly' in the Forex market with no plan or strategy will cause the Forex gambler to lose money just like any game of chance.
The consequence is worsen when the Forex gambler does not apply stop losses in his trading.
No, it is NOT gambling when one treats the Forex market like any other business or profession where opportunities can be seized and risks can be mitigated.
The difference between the Casino and the Forex market is that, most are games of chances with the former versus a contest of strategy for the later.
Unlike a game of chance, the Forex trader can rely on price patterns and analysis to decide on the opening and closing a position with a probability of winning in his favor.
One of the main issues with gambling, is that it is addictive.
Gamblers step into casinos with nothing but their hope to make money. When they lose money, the desire to recover losses will lead them to gamble more, and often more aggressively.
A Forex trader can easily become a Forex gambler when he lets his emotions dictate his actions to trade impatiently and illogically.
Unlike gambling, trading is much more than just betting on an outcome.
A good trader has and adheres to a trading plan that gives him the statistical edge of winning.
He monitors the trades in progress and trail his stops to maximize his profits and minimize his losses.
Automating his profitable trading plan will give him the added advantages of freeing him the time to trade around the clock and without the emotional ups and downs that can cause many good trades to turn bad and bad ones to become worse.
The fact is:
The buying and selling of currencies is no difference from the trading of goods which we try to buy at a lower price and sell them off at a higher price to make a profit.
Why Forex?
No other businesses and professions can beat the $5 trillion a day Forex market in size and the advantages and benefits of Forex trading.
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The entry barrier is low. A trader doesn't need a University degree and years in practice to trade.
All he needs is an internet connection and a couple of hundred dollars to trade for real, 24/5.5 days a week.
The daily swings of a hundred PIPs or more for the major currency pairs offer the astute traders ample and unmatchable opportunities to ride the trends or to take the profits.
The earning potential is unlimited and the freedom to work for yourself is priceless for those who care to master the skills of trading.
A good trader is like a successful surgeon or business owner.
The pre-requisite is for them to master their skills before they can start to earn a good living for themselves.
The Holy Grail in trading is no different from good practices adopted and perfected by these professionals and businessmen.
They adhere to proven principles and adjust their approaches to changing market conditions to stay ahead of their competitions.
Please click on High Probability Trade Setups and Triggers + Trading the EURUSD to see how price patterns can be used to trade profitably.
My Observations:
It's always better to trade with your own system than to rely on others' because the market is dynamic and requires you to adapt to stay profitable.
Trading with an EA based on profitable trading strategies is a bonus as it will free the trader from having to monitor and react to changing prices.
As an IB, I know of some traders who are making profit consistently in their trading, manually or otherwise.
Based on my analysis of the Traded Volumes, Funded Amounts and Current Balances, many of the profitable traders opened and held on to their trades before closing them within the following few days.
In my opinion, the trader who has the patience to wait for the optimal price to enter the trade, take the first profit with a partial close and let the remaining lots ride the trend will survive and become profitable under most market conditions.
This approach allows the trader to minimize losses from erratic price movements and still capture profits whenever the price continues to move in the right direction.
Why Forex?
This site is designed to give you the best information when it comes to trading currencies. But although forex trading makes up 60% of my personal income, the other 40% comes from other investing. This includes stocks and shares but also a growing part comes from sports betting, we even have a separate website that talks about this in detail called Ghost Betting Tips.
When I tell people I have £50,000 across a number of sports betting accounts their first reaction is pure shock. Usually followed by the “How can you risk that much money?” The truth? If you keep correct bankroll management, all investing is easy over the long term. Whether that be stocks and shares, forex, sports or anything else. So today I’m going to run through some of my personal opinions on the pros and cons of forex vs sports. I even have a twitter dedicated to only this.
Table of Contents
Forex Trading Pros:
Back testing a strategy is very easy – Luckily we have a crazy amount of data from the currency markets. They have been around for year and it is very easy to get information about previous prices, structure highs, news and everything in-between. As a result if you come up with a trading strategy. It is very easy to see if you would have made a profit if you traded this in the past. This means you can essentially predict the future (by using the results of the past.)
Limits – There are very few limits to trading forex. You simply have to set up a trading account and then get going. There aren’t any limits to the maximum you can make on a trade. If you are following correct forex trading principles then even if you have 100 million in your trading account you should still only be trading 1 million per trade and hence the currencies won’t fluctuate just due to your investment.
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Forex Trading Cons:
Tax – You have to pay tax on all your profits. Like a business this means you have to aquire the funds to start
Starting Capital – Probably the biggest issue to trading forex. As the spreads and pip movements are so small you will need a relatively large bankroll to become a profitable trader. Even if you get leverage at 10/1 you will still need a starting capital of £10,000+. This is one of the reasons I’m so against demo trading accounts. But that’s a rant so I won’t get started!
Strategies – Building the perfect trading strategy takes a lot of time. Back testing through previous years also takes a very long time. The issue with the strategy/system element is traders move around and become too aggressive with their trading strategies. When they fail or blow all their bankroll, suddenly its the strategies fault and not the fact you were putting 15% of your bankroll on every trade… Bankroll management is king.
Sports Betting Pros:
No TAX – Wow this is a big one for me. In the UK you don’t pay tax on sports betting winnings. I know in the US and other countries this isn’t the case. But if you are seriously making a lot of money then you might want to consider one of the tax havens, that goes for any investment earnings. Paying less tax is something I have been looking into for years. Originally having a business and paying 20-50% tax on earnings was hard enough. Nowadays with investing its down around 18%. But with sports betting you pay 0% (in the UK at least).
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More hands off – It’s a lot less time intensive than forex trading. Sports betting is more geared around value for specific odds. However you calculate that value, whether you have a hunch (not recommended) or do statistical analysis and back-test results based on previous data (recommended). Once a model is created this is very hands off. You can simply bet where you see value and leave the results to play out.
“Inside Information” – In other types of trading inside information is illegal. People go to prison for decades for trading with inside information. It is a crime. BUT when it comes to sports betting, it seems the more you know the better. Why punish someone when all they have done is found out a start player isn’t playing before the bookies adjust their prices? Or that there is going to be a storm in the middle of a football match, making it much more likely that less points are scored and hence the under total points becomes the best play. But the most important element is that individuals “tipsters” (I hate that word) can give you plays in return for cash. Now you have to be incredibly careful with these people! BUT if you follow the most reliable tipsters you can make 500% ROI per year and that’s no exaggeration!
Sports Betting Cons:
Regulation – There are lots of regulations around where you can place bets. For example in the UK I cannot use Pinnacle or a number of other large sportsbooks. In the USA as previously mentioned I believe you have to pay tax on your winnings too and in some states sports betting is straight up illegal, so check the regulations before you get started.
Low Limits & The dreaded “exceeds maximum bet” – Unlike forex trading, when you make a bet/trade you are making it with the bookie itself. This means that as your bankroll grows you are more likely to be flagged as a very good sports trader. This means you are more likely to have limits on how much you can bet per event. This depends on the size of the event. For example the maximum bet on the superbowl is over 1 million for almost all sportsbooks. But the maximum bet for a small soccer game in league 2 would probably only be £500 in most places. Bigger events have higher limits as the lines are more carefully calculated, meaning the bookies have a higher degree of confidence and hence will accept larger bets. If you are with a sportsbook or bookie that says “exceeds maximum bet” for a specific result then it is probably time to move. This means they are on to your smart betting and don’t want you to take any money from them!
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Conclusion
Personally I love both sports and forex trading. I will never stop one for another and I will be doing them both for years and years to come. But spreading “risk” and having some diversity is great. Back-testing sports betting strategies to see how much you would have made in a season is very similar to back-testing a forex trading strategy to see if your strategy is profitable. My biggest piece of advice would be don’t just rush into any type of trading. Build a strategy. Build your bankroll. Decide your bankroll management strategy. Good luck. Remember to check out our beginner ultimate guide and our free ebook for your forex trading introduction.
Tom is the owner of Elite Forex Trading. A website that provides beginner tips, trainings, reviews and strategies to help newbies get started making money in the forex markets.